Europe's Risky Game: The Hidden Costs of Targeting Musk's Empire

Posted on October 18, 2024 | By Max Knivets

Financial Times

There's a fine line between regulation and sabotaging your own side, and the EU looks ready to bulldoze right over it. Going after Elon Musk with potential fines under the Digital Services Act for X? Fair enough, content moderation needs addressing. But pulling his other ventures—SpaceX, Neuralink, and xAI—into the crosshairs is reckless. It's dragging unrelated industries into the fight and pushing Europe into risky, uncharted territory. And when the blowback hits, it's not just Musk who's going to feel it.

This move doesn't just harm Musk. It's not about punishing a single billionaire with his hands in a few pies. It's about Europe shooting itself in the foot by going after U.S. companies that are integral to the Western tech ecosystem. SpaceX isn't just some side hustle—it's a critical pillar for U.S. defense and global communications (hell, Starlink is a literal lifeline in Ukraine). So why is Europe risking driving a wedge between itself and the U.S., its primary ally in a world that's increasingly defined by geopolitical hardball?

How This Looks from the Kremlin

You don't need to be a Russian war planner to see the gift this is handing Moscow on a silver platter. Picture this: Europe cracks down on one of the most productive, innovative American enterprises, and Russia watches with glee. The cracks in the U.S.-EU alliance widen, the transatlantic tech exchange starts to fizzle, and guess who's sitting pretty? Russia—and China, for that matter—will exploit this growing rift like there's no tomorrow.

What's worse, when you weaken U.S. companies that are crucial for military tech, defense, and global communications, you're not just poking Musk. You're destabilizing the very fabric that keeps the Western bloc strong. Musk's companies like SpaceX are powering our ability to stay ahead in the space race, cyber defense, and future warfare. Russia couldn't dream up a better scenario.

Financializing the System and Its Backfire

This isn't the first time Europe's attempts to control the market have backfired. Look at how the sanctions on Russia, aimed at punishing its aggression, ended up financializing global commodity markets. Restricting trade with one of the world’s largest producers of oil, gas, and raw materials jacked up inflation, sent commodity prices skyrocketing, and hit European consumers the hardest. The intention was to hurt Russia, but the ripples crippled the very economies imposing the sanctions. Fining Musk’s companies could have a similar effect—it may be aimed at regulating disinformation, but the blowback will hit Europe’s own technological and economic infrastructure, leaving it more exposed to market volatility and strategic competition from powers like Russia and China.

The Bigger Picture: West vs. Authoritarianism

By going down this path, the EU risks alienating U.S. tech and military allies. What message does that send? Europe might be flexing its regulatory muscle, but it's doing so at the cost of weakening its own alliance with the U.S. And trust me, you don't want to be seen as that partner who messes with the tools that keep the alliance secure. If Europe thinks it's scoring points in the global regulation game, it's missing the bigger geopolitical picture entirely.

This isn't about standing up to big tech—it's about preserving the strategic backbone that keeps the West from falling behind in the face of growing authoritarian threats. Europe isn't just playing hardball with Musk—it's playing a reckless game that could backfire on the entire Western order. And guess who's cheering in the background? The very nations that benefit from a divided, weakened Western front.